In February accelerates the decline in the commercial vehicle market (-4,9%)

Unrae managing calls for urgent measures to support the automotive sector to counteract the effects of Coronavirus

Continues in February the negative trend in the demand of trucks with gvw up to 3.5 t, which started in November, and acceleration.

In February 2020, the commercial vehicles registered, according to the estimates prepared and disseminated by the Centre of Studies and Statistics unrae managing, are eur 14,517, with a loss of 4.9% compared to February 2019, when they were recorded 15.262 unit.

The first two months of 2020, therefore, stores 27.759 registrations in the face of the 28.801 the same period last year, a decrease of 3.6%.

“The February figure is testament to a market of commercial vehicles already in decline owing to the stagnation of the Italian economy – says Michele Crisci, President of the unrae managing, the Association of foreign car manufacturers – but upon this is grafted in the drama of health of the coronavirus, a new “Black Swan” for the global economy, which certainly in our Country trigger a recession, with the risk that this turns out to be serious and not short”.

“The severe restrictions – necessary and correttissime – to the mobility of citizens, the closure of almost all retail activities and the reduced production capacity of our manufacturing sector – continues Crisci – blend, with a strong negative impact on the demand for work vehicles. In fact, the restrictive measures return to zero trades for a period of time at the moment indefinite. The subsequent recovery and the final outcome of the year will depend on the duration and severity of the pandemic and measures emergency approaches associated, as well as from the entity, timing, and articulation of measures to support families, workers and businesses from the part of public institutions, both during and after the emergency.”

“Certainly, the severity of the market decline, which could exceed a quarter of the sales – concludes the President – will also depend on the specific measures to support the industry of commercial vehicles that the government will in the field on the side of demand, such as incentives for scrapping of older vehicles to replace them with new ones, increase of the appropriation for bonus to the purchase of vehicles with reduced emissions, increase in the rate of the tax credit, or repair the superammortamento and the massive of the public tenders. The result would be twofold, contributing not only to the renewal of a fleet of old and dangerous for the health and safety of citizens, but also and above all to keep alive, in a historic phase that is very serious, a supply chain that today employs 160,000 people, bill 53 billion Euros per year, and provides an invaluable contribution to the Treasury”.

From an analysis of the structure of the market of January 2020 (the data are not yet amenable to slight adjustments in the next two months due to late registration), with a market of lorries in negative territory (down 2.2%), private individuals and companies store a minus sign in front of a modest recovery of the rental. The sustained decline in autoimmatricolazioni (-48,7%) is combined with or 2.0% of the other companies, with the set of companies that register and then the worst performance among the channels, with negative 5.7%, with a market share to 48.7% (down by 1.4 p. p. compared to January 2019). With 3.058 units and a decrease of 3.4%, instead, individuals see their stable share of 23.3% (against 23.4% in the same month last year). Slight increase (+2,5%) of the channel of the rental, which records 90 units in January 2019, reaching a share of 28.1% from 26.5%. In the first month of the year, both short-term (9.8%) compared to both the long-term (or 3.1%) fall in the face of an increase of the autoimmatricolazioni use rental made by Dealers and auto manufacturers.

From the detail) for the power supply, shown in January, a generalized negative trend, which with the exception of the registrations of natural gas vehicles (+22%), with a market share increased to 3.4% from 2.7% in January 2019, and hybrid vehicles, which, with an increase of over 1,600%, decreased from 19 to 326 units registered, with a representation to 2.5%, from 0.1% in the same month of last year. Supported the decline of sales of electric trucks (-55,5% to 53 units) and LPG (-66,8% to 128 units). Retrieves 0.6 p. p. the diesel, whose share of the market just touches the 90%, having lost less of the total market (by 2.4%). The gasoline, and finally, lost almost a third of the volumes and 1.2 p. p., coming in at 3.2% of representativeness with 415 sales.

Finally, the 2020 starts with a slight decrease of the average CO2 emissions of vehicles with gvw up to 3.5 tonnes, in January to 157,2 g/km, down 0.7% compared to the 158,3 of January 2019.

Rome, 16 march 2020

For more information: www.unrae.it